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30 May 2026 11:00 UTC

ARSENAL DZERZHINSK vs DINAMO MINSK

Final 0:1

Dinamo Minsk won Last goal: Dinamo Minsk

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Andrey Zaleskiy (own goal) — Dinamo Minsk

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Dinamo Minsk

Result: Dinamo Minsk

47%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

70%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under

48%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

73%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

86%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 36 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 232 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 190 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)

Both teams to score 46% (Average)

Total 1.5 59% (Good)

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

Total 3.5 67% (Strong)

Total 4.5 79% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 46 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)

Both teams to score 54% (Average)

Total 1.5 72% (Strong)

Total 2.5 52% (Average)

Total 3.5 70% (Strong)

Total 4.5 80% (Strong)

Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)

130 predictions

Both teams to score 42% (Weak)

118 predictions

Total 1.5 67% (Strong)

153 predictions

Total 2.5 47% (Average)

101 predictions

Total 3.5 78% (Strong)

148 predictions

Total 4.5 88% (Strong)

170 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Dinamo Minsk. The match ended 0-1 in Belarus · Premier League. The model favored Dinamo Minsk with a marginal edge (36.6%).

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 79.5% of matches across a sample of 190 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 54.4% in a sample of 46 team involvements.

Most market calls were not confirmed by the final result in this fixture. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (70.1%) was identified as a clear statistical edge and was not confirmed. Over 2.5 goals (48%) was identified as a weak indicator and fell short of the result.

Both teams to score (46.5%) fell short of the result. The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.

ARSENAL DZERZHINSK vs DINAMO MINSK

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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