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29 May 2026 17:30 UTC

FC MINSK vs ISLOCH

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: FC Minsk

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Yegeniy Yudchits (penalty) — Isloch

2nd half

⚽ Artem Turich — FC Minsk

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

FC Minsk

Result: Draw

47%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

70%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

48%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

31%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

31%

Total 4.5

Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under

15%

Score

4:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 13 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 230 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 190 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)

Both teams to score 46% (Average)

Total 1.5 59% (Good)

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

Total 3.5 67% (Strong)

Total 4.5 79% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 47 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)

Both teams to score 57% (Good)

Total 1.5 64% (Good)

Total 2.5 53% (Average)

Total 3.5 70% (Strong)

Total 4.5 83% (Strong)

Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)

130 predictions

Both teams to score 42% (Weak)

118 predictions

Total 1.5 67% (Strong)

153 predictions

Total 2.5 47% (Average)

101 predictions

Total 3.5 29% (Weak)

42 predictions

Total 4.5 5% (Weak)

20 predictions

Match overview

Match result and prediction analysis for FC Minsk vs Isloch. The match ended 1-1 in Belarus · Premier League. Pre-match projections pointed to FC Minsk with a marginal edge at 39.3%.

While the winner prediction missed, other signals held up well. Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (70.1%) appeared as a strong signal and held up in the final outcome.

Over 2.5 goals (48%) came in as a low-confidence signal and was not confirmed, both teams to score (46.5%) was correctly identified. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 79.5% of matches across a sample of 190 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 57.5% in a sample of 47 team involvements.

Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

FC MINSK vs ISLOCH

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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