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Sweden · 1. Division · Ettan Norra

30 May 2026 14:00 UTC

HAMMARBY TFF vs AFC ESKILSTUNA

Final 1:2

AFC Eskilstuna won Last goal: Hammarby TFF

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sixten Skoeldqvist — AFC Eskilstuna
  2. ⚽ — (own goal) — AFC Eskilstuna

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Adam Johansson — Hammarby TFF

Model predictions were

Off target
45%
1X2
Hammarby TFF
Result: AFC Eskilstuna
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 47 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 460 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 378 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 46 past matches

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 35% (Weak)
Total 4.5 54% (Average)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
290 predictions
Both teams to score 34% (Weak)
125 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
318 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
144 predictions
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
244 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
311 predictions

Match overview

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