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30 May 2026 14:00 UTC

FC TROLLHAETTAN vs AATVIDABERG

Final 3:3

Draw Last goal: FC Trollhaettan

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ William Jensen — FC Trollhaettan
⚽ Ali Saedi — Aatvidaberg
⚽ Vilmer Johansson Nihlgaard — FC Trollhaettan

2nd half

⚽ Haris Radetinac — Aatvidaberg
⚽ Vilmer Johansson Nihlgaard — FC Trollhaettan
⚽ Tufve Oestlund — Aatvidaberg

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Draw

Result: Draw

57%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

80%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

45%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over

58%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

77%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over

13%

Score

1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 20% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 88 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 460 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 378 completed matches.

1X2 20% (Weak)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 71% (Strong)

Total 2.5 56% (Good)

Total 3.5 48% (Average)

Total 4.5 68% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 32 past matches

1X2 28% (Weak)

Both teams to score 66% (Strong)

Total 1.5 75% (Strong)

Total 2.5 63% (Good)

Total 3.5 59% (Good)

Total 4.5 72% (Strong)

Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 20% (Weak)

88 predictions

Both teams to score 57% (Good)

253 predictions

Total 1.5 81% (Strong)

318 predictions

Total 2.5 40% (Weak)

144 predictions

Total 3.5 55% (Good)

244 predictions

Total 4.5 77% (Strong)

311 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for FC Trollhaettan vs Aatvidaberg. The match ended 3-3 in Sweden · 1. Division · Ettan Soedra. The model favored Draw with a low-confidence projection (36.8%).

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (80.2%) was identified as a strong signal and held up in the final outcome.

Over 2.5 goals (44.6%) did not match the outcome, both teams to score (56.7%) aligned with the result. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 68.3% of matches across a sample of 378 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 65.6% in a sample of 32 team involvements.

Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

FC TROLLHAETTAN vs AATVIDABERG

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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