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Ireland · Premier Division

29 May 2026 19:00 UTC

SHAMROCK ROVERS vs ST. PATRICK'S ATHLETIC

Final 1:0

Shamrock Rovers won Last goal: Shamrock Rovers

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Graham Burke — Shamrock Rovers

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
St. Patrick's Athletic
90-minute result: Shamrock Rovers
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 43 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 178 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 146 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
104 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
90 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
115 predictions
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
67 predictions
Total 3.5 13% (Weak)
38 predictions
Total 4.5 7% (Weak)
15 predictions

Match overview