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Ireland · Premier Division

29 May 2026 18:45 UTC

DROGHEDA UNITED vs WATERFORD FC

Final 3:3

Draw Last goal: Waterford FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Tommy Lonergan — Waterford FC
  2. ⚽ Kevin Long — Waterford FC
  3. ⚽ Mark Doyle — Drogheda United

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Shane Farrell — Drogheda United
  2. ⚽ Ryan Brennan — Drogheda United
  3. ⚽ Benny Couto — Waterford FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Drogheda United
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
10%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 28 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 178 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 146 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 52 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
104 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
56 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
115 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
79 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
108 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
131 predictions

Match overview