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Israel · Cup

26 May 2026 17:30 UTC

HAPOEL BEER SHEVA vs MACCABI TEL AVIV

Final 1:2

Maccabi Tel Aviv won Last goal: Maccabi Tel Aviv

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Muhammad Abu Rumi — Hapoel Beer Sheva

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Hélio Varela — Maccabi Tel Aviv
  2. ⚽ Roy Revivo — Maccabi Tel Aviv
  3. 🟥 Djibril Diop (straight red) — Hapoel Beer Sheva

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
90-minute result: Maccabi Tel Aviv
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
49%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
59%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 10 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 44 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 38 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 37% (Weak)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 75% (Strong)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 38% (Weak)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 55% (Average)
33 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
32 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
35 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
30 predictions
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
23 predictions
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
30 predictions

Match overview