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Israel · Cup

04 Feb 2026 17:00 UTC

BEITAR JERUSALEM vs BNEI YEHUDA TEL AVIV

Final 1:2

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sagi Dror — Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
  2. ⚽ Adar Ratner — Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Johnbosco Samuel Kalu — Beitar Jerusalem
  2. 🟥 Miguel Silva — Beitar Jerusalem

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Beitar Jerusalem
90-minute result: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
49%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
53%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 8 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 13% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 39 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 33 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 36% (Weak)
Total 4.5 48% (Average)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
28 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
29 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
32 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
27 predictions
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
19 predictions
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
25 predictions

Match overview