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Israel · Cup

14 Jan 2026 18:30 UTC

HAPOEL TEL AVIV vs MACCABI TEL AVIV

Final 1:1

Draw

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Hélio Varela — Maccabi Tel Aviv
  2. ⚽ Stav Turiel — Hapoel Tel Aviv
  3. 🟥 Roy Revivo — Maccabi Tel Aviv

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
72%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 12% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 34 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 28 completed matches.

1X2 57% (Good)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 36% (Weak)
Total 4.5 46% (Average)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 1 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 57% (Good)
23 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
25 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
27 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
23 predictions
Total 3.5 27% (Weak)
11 predictions
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
22 predictions

Match overview