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Israel · Cup

09 Apr 2026 16:30 UTC

HAPOEL BEER SHEVA vs BNEI YEHUDA TEL AVIV

Final 3:2

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Javon East — Hapoel Beer Sheva
  2. ⚽ Roy Levi — Hapoel Beer Sheva

2nd half

  1. ⚽ — — Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
  2. ⚽ Noam Gissin — Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

Extra time

  1. ⚽ Guy Mizrahi — Hapoel Beer Sheva

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
72%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
20%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 8 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 12% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 42 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 36 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 39% (Weak)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 80% (Strong)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 20% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 55% (Average)
31 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
30 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
33 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
28 predictions
Total 3.5 21% (Weak)
14 predictions
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
28 predictions

Match overview