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Italy · Serie A

23 May 2026 16:00 UTC

BOLOGNA vs INTER

Final 3:3

Top match Draw Last goal: Inter

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Federico Dimarco — Inter
  2. ⚽ Federico Bernardeschi — Bologna
  3. ⚽ Tommaso Pobega — Bologna

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Piotr Zielinski (own goal) — Bologna
  2. ⚽ Francesco Pio Esposito — Inter
  3. ⚽ Andy Diouf · assist Luka Topalovic — Inter

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
49%
1X2
Bologna
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
64%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
64%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
75%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
91%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
10%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 103 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 371 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 369 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 73 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
277 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
189 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
85 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
219 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
307 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
341 predictions

Match overview