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Italy · Serie A

23 May 2026 18:45 UTC

LAZIO vs PISA

Final 2:1

Top match Lazio won Last goal: Lazio

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Stefano Moreo · assist Michel Aebischer — Pisa
  2. ⚽ Fisayo Dele-Bashiru · assist Reda Belahyane — Lazio
  3. ⚽ Pedro · assist Tijjani Noslin — Lazio

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
46%
1X2
Pisa
90-minute result: Lazio
Lucky hit
37%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
41%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
41%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
41%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:6

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-5; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 2 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 371 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 369 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 72 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
277 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
180 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
284 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
150 predictions
Total 3.5 15% (Weak)
62 predictions
Total 4.5 7% (Weak)
28 predictions

Match overview