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Croatia · Prva HNL · HNL

23 May 2026 14:00 UTC

NK VARAZDIN vs NK ISTRA 1961

Final 2:0 Almanac Moment

NK Varazdin won Last goal: NK Varazdin

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Luka Mamic (penalty) — NK Varazdin
  2. ⚽ Luka Mamic (penalty) — NK Varazdin

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
NK Varazdin
90-minute result: NK Varazdin
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 175 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 172 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 66 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
137 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
70 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
138 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
79 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
134 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
164 predictions

Match overview