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Croatia · Prva HNL · HNL

17 May 2026 14:00 UTC

SLAVEN vs DINAMO ZAGREB

Final 1:4

Dinamo Zagreb won Last goal: Dinamo Zagreb

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Filip Kruselj — Slaven

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Fran Topic — Dinamo Zagreb
  2. ⚽ Gabriel Vidovic — Dinamo Zagreb
  3. ⚽ Dion Beljo — Dinamo Zagreb
  4. ⚽ Juan Córdoba — Dinamo Zagreb

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Dinamo Zagreb
90-minute result: Dinamo Zagreb
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 44 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 171 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 168 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
134 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
99 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
134 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
90 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
132 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
161 predictions

Match overview