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Croatia · Prva HNL · HNL

22 May 2026 16:15 UTC

HAJDUK SPLIT vs VUKOVAR 91

Final 6:3

Hajduk Split won Last goal: Vukovar 91

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Lovro Banovec — Vukovar 91
  2. ⚽ Roko Brajkovic — Hajduk Split
  3. ⚽ Michele Sego — Hajduk Split
  4. ⚽ Jakov Gurlica — Vukovar 91
  5. ⚽ Michele Sego — Hajduk Split

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lovro Banovec (own goal) — Hajduk Split
  2. ⚽ Adam Huram — Hajduk Split
  3. ⚽ Iker Almena (penalty) — Hajduk Split
  4. ⚽ Jakov Puljic (penalty) — Vukovar 91

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Hajduk Split
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 6:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 47 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 173 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 170 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 66 past matches

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
34 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
100 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
136 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
91 predictions
Total 3.5 22% (Weak)
36 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
163 predictions

Match overview