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Croatia · Prva HNL · HNL

17 May 2026 16:45 UTC

NK ISTRA 1961 vs RIJEKA

Final 0:0

Draw

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Dimitri Legbo (straight red) — Rijeka

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Rijeka
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 6% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 16 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 171 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 168 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
134 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
69 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
134 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
78 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
132 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
161 predictions

Match overview