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France · Coupe de France

22 May 2026 19:00 UTC

LENS vs NICE

Final 3:1

Lens won Last goal: Lens

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Florian Thauvin — Lens
  2. ⚽ Odsonne Édouard — Lens
  3. ⚽ Djibril Coulibaly — Nice

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Abdallah Sima — Lens

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
56%
1X2
Lens
90-minute result: Lens
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 3 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 62 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 59 completed matches.

1X2 60% (Good)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 63% (Good)
Both teams to score 25% (Weak)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 60% (Good)
45 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
25 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
47 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
31 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
47 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
55 predictions

Match overview