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Netherlands · Eredivisie · Eredivisie ECL Playoff

21 May 2026 16:45 UTC

AJAX vs FC GRONINGEN

Final 2:0

Top match Ajax won Last goal: FC Groningen

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Davy Klaassen — Ajax

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jorthy Mokio — Ajax

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
47%
1X2
Ajax
90-minute result: Ajax
Off target
65%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
89%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
68%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
79%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 56% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 72 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 302 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 305 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 66 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 89% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
227 predictions
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
205 predictions
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
269 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
195 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
195 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
260 predictions

Match overview