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Netherlands · Eredivisie

17 May 2026 12:30 UTC

PSV EINDHOVEN vs TWENTE

Final 5:1

Top match PSV Eindhoven won Last goal: PSV Eindhoven

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ryan Flamingo · assist Ivan Perisic — PSV Eindhoven
  2. ⚽ Sondre Ørjasæter · assist Daouda Weidmann — Twente
  3. ⚽ Noah Fernandez · assist Kiliann Sildillia — PSV Eindhoven

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Dennis Man · assist Ivan Perisic — PSV Eindhoven
  2. ⚽ Guus Til · assist Dennis Man — PSV Eindhoven
  3. ⚽ Ricardo Pepi (penalty) — PSV Eindhoven

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
31%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: PSV Eindhoven
Solid call
65%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
89%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
66%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
79%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
13%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 89 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 293 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 296 completed matches.

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 66% (Strong)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 56% (Good)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 26% (Weak)
76 predictions
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
199 predictions
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
260 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
188 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
105 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
254 predictions

Match overview