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Netherlands · Eredivisie

17 May 2026 12:30 UTC

FC UTRECHT vs FORTUNA SITTARD

Final 2:0

Top match FC Utrecht won Last goal: FC Utrecht

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Dani de Wit · assist Gjivai Zechiël — FC Utrecht

2nd half

  1. ⚽ David Min · assist Gjivai Zechiël — FC Utrecht

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Lucky hit
29%
1X2
FC Utrecht
90-minute result: FC Utrecht
Nice call
53%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
89%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
66%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
79%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
4:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 71% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 7 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 293 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 296 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 66% (Strong)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
220 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
97 predictions
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
260 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
188 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
105 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
254 predictions

Match overview