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Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · Playoff ECL grp. A

19 May 2026 18:30 UTC

SPORTING CHARLEROI vs OH LEUVEN

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Sporting Charleroi

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Christ Souanga — OH Leuven

2nd half

  1. Aurélien Scheidler — Sporting Charleroi

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
72%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
61%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 297 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 292 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 73 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
224 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
168 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
226 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
149 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
220 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
257 predictions

Match overview