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Israel · Liga Leumit · Leumit League Promotion Group

20 May 2026 15:45 UTC

HAPOEL KFAR SHALEM vs KIRYAT YAM

Final 2:1

Hapoel Kfar Shalem won Last goal: Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Yali Malka — Kiryat Yam
  2. ⚽ Nir Hasson — Hapoel Kfar Shalem
  3. ⚽ Or Roizman (penalty) — Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
90-minute result: Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 67 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 279 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 264 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
185 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
166 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
215 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 3.5 32% (Weak)
69 predictions
Total 4.5 17% (Weak)
30 predictions

Match overview