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Israel · Liga Leumit · Leumit League Relegation Group

19 May 2026 16:00 UTC

MACCABI KABILIO JAFFA vs HAPOEL AFULA

Final 4:1

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa won Last goal: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Gil Itzhak — Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Maor Bitton — Hapoel Afula
  2. ⚽ Ronen Peretz — Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
  3. ⚽ Sagiv Elbaz — Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
  4. ⚽ Gil Itzhak — Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
90-minute result: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 10% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 10 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 275 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 260 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
181 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
96 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
212 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
130 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
192 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
231 predictions

Match overview