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Israel · Liga Leumit · Leumit League Relegation Group

25 May 2026 16:00 UTC

HAPOEL AFULA vs SC KAFR QASIM

Final 2:0

Hapoel Afula won Last goal: Hapoel Afula

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Yaniv Brik — Hapoel Afula
  2. Nitay Bitan — Hapoel Afula

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 68 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 283 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 268 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
189 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
168 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
219 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
135 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
198 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
237 predictions

Match overview