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Israel · Liga Leumit · Leumit League Promotion Group

20 May 2026 15:45 UTC

MACCABI HERZLIYA vs HAPOEL KFAR SABA

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Hapoel Kfar Saba

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Eylon Yerushalmi — Maccabi Herzliya
  2. ⚽ Amit Arazi — Hapoel Kfar Saba

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Maccabi Herzliya
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 279 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 264 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
185 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
98 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
215 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
131 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
195 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
234 predictions

Match overview