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Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · Playoff Championship

16 May 2026 18:45 UTC

ST.TRUIDEN vs GENT

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: St.Truiden

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Wilfried Kanga — Gent

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Loïc Mbe Soh — St.Truiden

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
31%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
72%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
61%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
6%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 81 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 292 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 287 completed matches.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 29% (Weak)
66 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
165 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
222 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
141 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
216 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
253 predictions

Match overview