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Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · Playoff Championship

17 May 2026 11:30 UTC

ANDERLECHT vs KV MECHELEN

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Anderlecht

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Myron van Brederode — KV Mechelen
  2. ⚽ Nathan Saliba — Anderlecht

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Thérence Koudou — KV Mechelen
  2. ⚽ Ilay Camara — Anderlecht

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
54%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
49%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
72%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
72%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
72%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 82 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 295 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 290 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 68 past matches

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
223 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
122 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
225 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
148 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
218 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
255 predictions

Match overview