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Ireland · Premier Division

15 May 2026 18:45 UTC

BOHEMIAN FC vs DROGHEDA UNITED

Final 2:1

Bohemian FC won Last goal: Drogheda United

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Dayle Rooney — Bohemian FC
  2. Patrick Hickey — Bohemian FC
  3. Thomas Oluwa — Drogheda United

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 60% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 25 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 165 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 133 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
94 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
53 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
103 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
73 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
101 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
122 predictions

Match overview