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Portugal · Liga Portugal 2

17 May 2026 17:00 UTC

LEIXOES vs LUSITANIA LOUROSA

Final 2:1

Leixoes won Last goal: Lusitania Lourosa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Marco Sousa (straight red) — Lusitania Lourosa
  2. ⚽ Bryan Róchez (penalty) — Leixoes

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Ibrahim Alhassan (straight red) — Lusitania Lourosa
  2. ⚽ Bryan Róchez — Leixoes
  3. ⚽ Miguel Pereira — Lusitania Lourosa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Leixoes
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 22% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 104 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 305 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 293 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
87 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
158 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
215 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
121 predictions
Total 3.5 22% (Weak)
59 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
268 predictions

Match overview