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Portugal · Liga Portugal 2

17 May 2026 14:30 UTC

UNIAO DE LEIRIA vs FEIRENSE

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Uniao de Leiria

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Pablo Fernández — Uniao de Leiria

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Joao Oliveira — Feirense
  2. ⚽ Luís dos Santos — Feirense
  3. ⚽ Juan Muñoz — Uniao de Leiria

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 22% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 104 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 305 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 293 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
87 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
158 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
215 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
172 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
234 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
268 predictions

Match overview