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Portugal · Liga Portugal 2

15 May 2026 18:00 UTC

MARITIMO vs CHAVES

Final 1:3

Chaves won Last goal: Chaves

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ David Kusso — Chaves
  2. ⚽ Reinaldo — Chaves

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Adrián Butzke — Maritimo
  2. ⚽ David Kusso — Chaves

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Underdog
37%
1X2
Chaves
90-minute result: Chaves
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
3:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 66 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 301 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 289 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
204 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
155 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
211 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
119 predictions
Total 3.5 21% (Weak)
57 predictions
Total 4.5 17% (Weak)
24 predictions

Match overview