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Portugal · Liga Portugal 2

17 May 2026 10:00 UTC

OLIVEIRENSE vs FELGUEIRAS 1932

Final 1:5

Felgueiras 1932 won Last goal: Felgueiras 1932

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Armando Lopes — Oliveirense
  2. ⚽ Tiago Leite — Felgueiras 1932
  3. ⚽ Henrique Martins — Felgueiras 1932

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lucas Duarte — Felgueiras 1932
  2. ⚽ Mario Rivas — Felgueiras 1932
  3. ⚽ Mario Rivas — Felgueiras 1932

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Felgueiras 1932
90-minute result: Felgueiras 1932
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:5

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 67 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 305 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 293 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
87 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
158 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
215 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
172 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
234 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
268 predictions

Match overview