← Back to matches

Switzerland · Super League · Super League Championship Group

14 May 2026 14:30 UTC

FC THUN vs BSC YOUNG BOYS

Final 3:8

BSC Young Boys won Last goal: BSC Young Boys

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Samuel Essende — BSC Young Boys
  2. ⚽ Elmin Rastoder — FC Thun
  3. ⚽ Elmin Rastoder — FC Thun
  4. ⚽ Samuel Essende (penalty) — BSC Young Boys
  5. ⚽ Alvyn Sanches — BSC Young Boys
  6. 🟥 Marco Bürki (straight red) — FC Thun

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Samuel Essende (penalty) — BSC Young Boys
  2. ⚽ Alan Virginius — BSC Young Boys
  3. ⚽ Christian Fassnacht — BSC Young Boys
  4. 🟥 Jan Bamert (straight red) — FC Thun
  5. ⚽ Chris Bedia (penalty) — BSC Young Boys
  6. ⚽ Leonardo Bertone — FC Thun
  7. ⚽ Christian Fassnacht — BSC Young Boys

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
FC Thun
90-minute result: BSC Young Boys
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:8

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 58 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 216 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 216 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 68 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
156 predictions
Both teams to score 69% (Strong)
150 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
190 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
130 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
146 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
184 predictions

Match overview