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Switzerland · Super League · Super League Championship Group

14 May 2026 14:30 UTC

FC SION vs FC LUGANO

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: FC Lugano

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Georgios Koutsias — FC Lugano

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ilyas Chouaref — FC Sion
  2. ⚽ Baltazar — FC Sion
  3. ⚽ Antonios Papadopoulos — FC Lugano

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Favorite
37%
1X2
FC Sion
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
15%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 58 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 216 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 216 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
156 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
66 predictions
Total 1.5 4% (Weak)
26 predictions
Total 2.5 30% (Weak)
86 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
146 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
184 predictions

Match overview