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Greece · Super League · Super League Conference League Group

17 May 2026 14:00 UTC

ARIS THESSALONIKI FC vs LEVADIAKOS

Final 3:0

Aris Thessaloniki FC won Last goal: Aris Thessaloniki FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Tino Kadewere — Aris Thessaloniki FC
  2. ⚽ Carles Pérez — Aris Thessaloniki FC
  3. ⚽ Tino Kadewere — Aris Thessaloniki FC
  4. 🟥 Ioannis Kosti (2nd yellow) — Levadiakos

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Levadiakos
90-minute result: Aris Thessaloniki FC
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 53 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 222 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 225 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
180 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
108 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
167 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
108 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
176 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
204 predictions

Match overview