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Greece · Super League · Super League Championship Group

13 May 2026 16:30 UTC

PAOK THESSALONIKI FC vs AEK ATHENS

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: PAOK Thessaloniki FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Luka Jovic — AEK Athens
  2. ⚽ Anestis Mythou — PAOK Thessaloniki FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Favorite
51%
1X2
PAOK Thessaloniki FC
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 65% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 17 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 216 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 219 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
177 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
113 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
164 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
106 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
171 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
199 predictions

Match overview