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Greece · Super League · Super League Championship Group

17 May 2026 16:30 UTC

AEK ATHENS vs OLYMPIACOS

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: AEK Athens

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Rodinei — Olympiacos

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Aboubakary Koïta — AEK Athens

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
AEK Athens
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 55 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 222 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 225 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
180 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
108 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
167 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
108 predictions
Total 3.5 31% (Weak)
49 predictions
Total 4.5 10% (Weak)
21 predictions

Match overview