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Greece · Super League · Super League Relegation Group

17 May 2026 12:00 UTC

PANSERRAIKOS FC vs PANETOLIKOS

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Panserraikos FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Juan Manuel García — Panetolikos

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Volnei — Panserraikos FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
45%
1X2
Panserraikos FC
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 55 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 222 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 225 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
180 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
117 predictions
Total 1.5 24% (Weak)
58 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
117 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
176 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
204 predictions

Match overview