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Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · Playoff ECL grp. A

16 May 2026 16:15 UTC

STANDARD LIEGE vs GENK

Final 0:0

Draw

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Underdog
54%
1X2
Standard Liege
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
72%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 89 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 292 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 287 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
221 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
165 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
222 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
146 predictions
Total 3.5 30% (Weak)
71 predictions
Total 4.5 21% (Weak)
34 predictions

Match overview