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Lithuania · A Lyga

17 May 2026 11:15 UTC

FK TRANSINVEST vs ZALGIRIS VILNIUS

Final 1:0

FK TransINVEST won Last goal: FK TransINVEST

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Xabi Auzmendi — FK TransINVEST

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
FK TransINVEST
90-minute result: FK TransINVEST
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 46% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 35 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 178 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 151 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 41 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
46 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
81 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
117 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
93 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
131 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
146 predictions

Match overview