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Lithuania · A Lyga

16 May 2026 15:30 UTC

DZIUGAS TELSIAI vs BANGA GARGZDAI

Final 0:1

Banga Gargzdai won Last goal: Banga Gargzdai

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ignas Venckus — Banga Gargzdai

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Dziugas Telsiai
90-minute result: Banga Gargzdai
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 34 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 175 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 148 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 46% (Average)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
103 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
69 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
114 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
91 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
129 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
144 predictions

Match overview