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Lithuania · A Lyga

16 May 2026 11:15 UTC

FK KAUNO ZALGIRIS vs FA SIAULIAI

Final 0:0

Draw

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
FA Siauliai
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 37 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 175 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 148 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
103 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
79 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
114 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
57 predictions
Total 3.5 32% (Weak)
19 predictions
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
4 predictions

Match overview