← Back to matches

Lithuania · A Lyga

16 May 2026 14:00 UTC

HEGELMANN vs SUDUVA

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Hegelmann

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ibrahima Seck — Suduva
  2. ⚽ Njoya Kader — Hegelmann

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Yusuke Omori — Suduva
  2. ⚽ Njoya Kader — Hegelmann

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 66 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 175 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 148 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
45 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
79 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
114 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
91 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
129 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
144 predictions

Match overview