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Portugal · Liga 3 · Liga 3 Promotion Group

16 May 2026 15:30 UTC

CF OS BELENENSES vs MAFRA

Final 3:1

CF Os Belenenses won Last goal: CF Os Belenenses

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Diogo Leitao — CF Os Belenenses
  2. ⚽ Bruninho — CF Os Belenenses
  3. ⚽ Rúben Pinto — Mafra
  4. ⚽ Joao Gastao — CF Os Belenenses

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: CF Os Belenenses
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 91 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 292 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 289 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
79 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
147 predictions
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
203 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
173 predictions
Total 3.5 84% (Strong)
239 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
271 predictions

Match overview