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Germany · Bundesliga

16 May 2026 13:30 UTC

WERDER BREMEN vs BORUSSIA DORTMUND

Final 0:2

Top match Borussia Dortmund won Last goal: Borussia Dortmund

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Serhou Guirassy · assist Julian Ryerson — Borussia Dortmund
  2. ⚽ Yan Couto · assist Karim Adeyemi — Borussia Dortmund

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
35%
1X2
Borussia Dortmund
90-minute result: Borussia Dortmund
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
81%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
53%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 53 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 302 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 296 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
224 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
187 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
260 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
181 predictions
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
190 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
243 predictions

Match overview