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Denmark · 1. Division · 1. Division Relegation Group

16 May 2026 12:00 UTC

MIDDELFART vs HB KOEGE

Final 0:4

HB Koege won Last goal: HB Koege

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jerailly Wielzen (own goal) — HB Koege
  2. ⚽ Christian Tue Jensen — HB Koege
  3. ⚽ Tobias Thomsen — HB Koege

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Tobias Thomsen — HB Koege

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
HB Koege
90-minute result: HB Koege
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 43 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 182 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 177 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
128 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
115 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
143 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
99 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
115 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
150 predictions

Match overview