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Denmark · 1. Division · 1. Division Relegation Group

22 May 2026 16:00 UTC

AARHUS FREMAD vs AAB

Final 5:0

Aarhus Fremad won Last goal: Aarhus Fremad

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Lucas Riisgaard — Aarhus Fremad

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Carl Nygaard — Aarhus Fremad
  2. ⚽ Marcus Kirchheiner — Aarhus Fremad
  3. ⚽ Kasper Lunding — Aarhus Fremad
  4. ⚽ Yusuf Abdullahi — Aarhus Fremad

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Aarhus Fremad
90-minute result: Aarhus Fremad
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 49 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 185 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 180 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
130 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
117 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
145 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
100 predictions
Total 3.5 34% (Weak)
62 predictions
Total 4.5 19% (Weak)
27 predictions

Match overview