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Denmark · 1. Division · 1. Division Promotion Group

09 May 2026 17:00 UTC

ESBJERG FB vs KOLDING IF

Final 3:0

Esbjerg fB won Last goal: Esbjerg fB

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Muamer Brajanac — Esbjerg fB

2nd half

  1. Julius Lucena — Esbjerg fB
  2. John Kolawole — Esbjerg fB

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 47 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 175 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 170 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 53 past matches

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
124 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
108 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
136 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
95 predictions
Total 3.5 34% (Weak)
58 predictions
Total 4.5 21% (Weak)
24 predictions

Match overview