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Denmark · 1. Division · 1. Division Relegation Group

14 May 2026 11:00 UTC

HOBRO vs AARHUS FREMAD

Final 0:3

Aarhus Fremad won Last goal: Aarhus Fremad

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Luka Calloe — Aarhus Fremad

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lucas Riisgaard — Aarhus Fremad
  2. ⚽ Elias Caspersen Egerton — Aarhus Fremad

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Aarhus Fremad
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 61 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 179 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 174 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
47 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
112 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
140 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
76 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
113 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
148 predictions

Match overview