← Back to matches

China · Super League

16 May 2026 12:00 UTC

YUNNAN YUKUN vs SHANGHAI SHENHUA

Final 1:0

Yunnan Yukun won Last goal: Yunnan Yukun

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Oscar Taty Maritu — Yunnan Yukun

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 46 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 237 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 200 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 47 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 38% (Weak)
Total 4.5 51% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
145 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
77 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
173 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
92 predictions
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
140 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
170 predictions

Match overview